GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 6/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kaspij Aktau 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Kaspij Aktau 2 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tobol 2 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaspij Aktau 2 hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 28.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the 1. Division, while Kaspij Aktau 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kaspij Aktau 2

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Kaspij Aktau 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kaspij Aktau 2WLLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Tobol 2DLDLL

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Kaspij Aktau 2Tobol 2
50.0Attack51.9
42.6Defence11.1
44.4Form18.5
45.5Power28.9
3.02xG1.58
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