GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kaspij Aktau 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kaspij Aktau 2 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Taraz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Taraz hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the 1. Division, while Kaspij Aktau 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kaspij Aktau 2

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Kaspij Aktau 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kaspij Aktau 2LWWLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TarazLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kaspij Aktau 2Taraz
50.0Attack42.6
42.6Defence57.4
44.4Form44.4
45.5Power49.5
1.39xG1.38
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