GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kaspij Aktau 2 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kaspij Aktau 2 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jaiyq are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jaiyq hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the 1. Division, while Kaspij Aktau 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kaspij Aktau 2

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

14.0%

Kaspij Aktau 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kaspij Aktau 2WLDLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
JaiyqLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Kaspij Aktau 2Jaiyq
50.0Attack33.3
42.6Defence57.4
44.4Form48.1
45.5Power48.4
1.39xG1.08
View match centre →