GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kaspij Aktau 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Kaspij Aktau 2 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Aktobe Jas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaspij Aktau 2 hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the 1. Division, while Kaspij Aktau 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kaspij Aktau 2

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Kaspij Aktau 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kaspij Aktau 2WLWLW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Aktobe JasLDWDW

GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kaspij Aktau 2Aktobe Jas
50.0Attack53.7
42.6Defence0.0
44.4Form31.5
45.5Power30.2
2.98xG1.66
View match centre →