Kasımpaşavs
Trabzonspor
SCHEDULEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trabzonspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kasımpaşa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Trabzonspor are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trabzonspor hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Süper Lig, while Trabzonspor holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trabzonspor
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
10.5%
Trabzonspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60