Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kasımpaşa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kasımpaşa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hull City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kasımpaşa hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kasımpaşa holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kasımpaşa
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Kasımpaşa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20