GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kashiwa Reysol are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 55.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

59.2%

Model confidence

59.2%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kashiwa ReysolLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tokyo VerdyWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kashiwa ReysolTokyo Verdy
83.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form16.7
86.5Power31.3
2.07xG0.96
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