GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kashiwa Reysol are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 50.0-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kashiwa ReysolDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mito HollyhockWDLDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
83.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
86.5Power36.5
1.93xG0.96
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