GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Tokyo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 61.3-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 25.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kashiwa ReysolLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
FC TokyoWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo
83.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form16.7
86.5Power25.2
2.18xG1.02
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