Kashimavs
Tokyo Verdy
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 3/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kashima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 52.0-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80