GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kashima are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (72.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashima

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

12.2%

Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KashimaWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Nagoya GrampusLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KashimaNagoya Grampus
100.0Attack0.0
0.0Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
72.0Power23.7
1.78xG1.14
View match centre →