Kashimavs
Nagoya Grampus
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 8/15/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kashima are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (72.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
12.2%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60