GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kashima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kawasaki Frontale are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashima

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KashimaWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kawasaki FrontaleDLDWW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KashimaKawasaki Frontale
100.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
100.0Form33.3
83.3Power48.3
1.87xG1.23
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