Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kashima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Tokyo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 58.2-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 25.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00