Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karviná · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Karviná are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vlašim are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Karviná hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the FNL, while Karviná holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karviná
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Karviná has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00