Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karvan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Karvan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kapaz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kapaz hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Karvan holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karvan
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Karvan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80