Karpatyvs
Yarud Mariupol'
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karpaty · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Karpaty are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Yarud Mariupol' are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty hold a 66.0-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Karpaty holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karpaty
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Karpaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20