Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karpaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Karpaty are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bukovyna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Premier League, while Karpaty holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karpaty
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
14.3%
Karpaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60