GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/31/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Karonga United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Red Lions are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Lions hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karonga UnitedLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Red LionsWDWDD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Karonga UnitedRed Lions
36.1Attack28.2
41.7Defence71.8
33.3Form48.7
40.0Power51.6
0.63xG0.94
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