GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 8/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyasa Big Bullets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Karonga United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nyasa Big Bullets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyasa Big Bullets hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring Nyasa Big Bullets with 20.2% confidence, a 30% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyasa Big Bullets

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

20.2%

Nyasa Big Bullets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karonga UnitedLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Nyasa Big BulletsWLDWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Karonga UnitedNyasa Big Bullets
36.1Attack38.9
41.7Defence80.6
33.3Form63.9
40.0Power63.7
0.51xG1.34
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