GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 6/28/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Karonga United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moyale Barracks are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Moyale Barracks hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karonga UnitedLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Moyale BarracksWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Karonga UnitedMoyale Barracks
36.1Attack30.8
41.7Defence64.1
33.3Form43.6
40.0Power48.6
0.81xG1.01
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