Karonga Unitedvs
MAFCO
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 5/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Karonga United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while MAFCO are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and MAFCO hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80