GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 7/26/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karonga United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Karonga United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Creck are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Karonga United hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Super League, while Karonga United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karonga United

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Karonga United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karonga UnitedLLDLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CreckLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Karonga UnitedCreck
36.1Attack19.4
41.7Defence52.8
33.3Form13.9
40.0Power31.5
1.14xG0.72
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