Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Karlslund are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nyköping are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyköping hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Nyköping holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40