Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fittja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Karlslund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fittja are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fittja hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Fittja holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fittja
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Fittja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00