Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farsta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Karlslund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Farsta are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Farsta hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Farsta holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Farsta
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Farsta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40