Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Räppe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Karlshamn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Räppe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Räppe hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Räppe holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Räppe
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
12.9%
Räppe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60