Karlovy VaryvsChomutov

Karlovy Vary are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chomutov are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Chomutov hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Cup, while Chomutov holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.