Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Karlberg are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stocksund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 80.3 against 80.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 20 · avg 2.20/4.00