Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Karlberg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stocksund are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Ettan - Norra, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
9.2%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00