Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Karlberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nyköping are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 67.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 13.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40