GGOALVIO

Kara-Balta logoKara-BaltavsIlbirs logoIlbirs

COMPLETED

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 3/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ilbirs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kara-Balta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ilbirs are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilbirs hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (22.1 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Premier League, while Ilbirs holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ilbirs

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

11.0%

Ilbirs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kara-BaltaDLDWL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IlbirsWLDDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Kara-BaltaIlbirs
31.6Attack43.3
12.3Defence46.7
12.3Form38.3
22.1Power43.6
1.02xG2.03
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