Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaposvar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Kaposvar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Siofok are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaposvar hold a 47.6-point power-rating edge (92.2 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the NB III - Southwest, while Kaposvar holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kaposvar
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Kaposvar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00