Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Csepel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kaposvar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Csepel are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Csepel hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Csepel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Csepel
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Csepel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20