GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kansas City W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Diego Wave W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the NWSL Women, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kansas City WLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
San Diego Wave WLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Kansas City WSan Diego Wave W
51.7Attack41.7
53.3Defence65.0
50.0Form55.0
51.9Power55.9
1.15xG1.08
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