GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kansas City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Kansas City W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Racing Louisville W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kansas City W hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the NWSL Women, while Kansas City W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kansas City W

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kansas City WLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Racing Louisville WWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kansas City WRacing Louisville W
51.7Attack44.4
53.3Defence35.2
50.0Form31.5
51.9Power39.2
2.24xG1.09
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