GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kamuzu Barracks · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kamuzu Barracks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Karonga United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.2 against 40.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Super League, while Kamuzu Barracks holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kamuzu Barracks

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Kamuzu Barracks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kamuzu BarracksLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Karonga UnitedLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kamuzu BarracksKaronga United
36.1Attack36.1
52.8Defence41.7
30.6Form33.3
41.2Power40.0
1.36xG0.94
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