GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/23/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kamuzu Barracks are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ekhaya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekhaya hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kamuzu BarracksWDLLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
EkhayaWLDLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kamuzu BarracksEkhaya
36.1Attack33.3
52.8Defence71.8
30.6Form43.6
41.2Power50.7
0.64xG0.89
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