Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aresimi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Kamjani are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Aresimi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Aresimi hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aresimi holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aresimi
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Aresimi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60