GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

KAMAZ are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nizhny Novgorod are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nizhny Novgorod hold a 59.9-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 89.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the First League, while Nizhny Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nizhny Novgorod

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

64.4%

Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KAMAZLDLDD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nizhny NovgorodWLWWD

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KAMAZNizhny Novgorod
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
11.1Form100.0
29.5Power89.3
0.81xG2.16
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