GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kaluga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rodina Moskva II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva II hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Second League A - Division A Gold, favouring a draw with 20.8% confidence, a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

20.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KalugaLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Rodina Moskva IIWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KalugaRodina Moskva II
8.3Attack41.7
75.0Defence83.3
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power66.3
0.72xG0.91
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