Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kalsdorf are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Gnas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalsdorf hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gnas holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gnas
Probability
34.0%
Model confidence
34.0%
Gnas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00