GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 7/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kalmar FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Mediumconfidence

Kalmar FF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orgryte IS are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalmar FF hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Allsvenskan, while Kalmar FF holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kalmar FF

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

10.1%

Kalmar FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kalmar FFWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Orgryte ISLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kalmar FFOrgryte IS
43.8Attack41.7
50.0Defence22.9
37.5Form27.1
45.5Power32.4
2.25xG1.11
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