Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
kalmar FF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Malmo FF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Malmo FF hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Allsvenskan, while Malmo FF holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malmo FF
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
10.9%
Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40