Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Larisa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kallithea are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Larisa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Larisa hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Cup, while Larisa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Larisa
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
11.5%
Larisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20