Kaliszvs
Unia Swarzędz
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalisz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kalisz are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Unia Swarzędz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Swarzędz hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Kalisz holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kalisz
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Kalisz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00