Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kaisar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Irtysh are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaisar hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40