Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Kaisar are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Astana are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00