GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Levski Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kairat Almaty are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Levski Sofia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Levski Sofia hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 71.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the UEFA Champions League, while Levski Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Levski Sofia

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

14.6%

Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kairat AlmatyLWWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Levski SofiaWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kairat AlmatyLevski Sofia
33.3Attack60.0
80.0Defence80.0
60.0Form73.3
59.9Power71.4
1.00xG1.21
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