Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kahibah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kahibah are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Valentine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Kahibah holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kahibah
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
9.5%
Kahibah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20