Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Kahibah are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Maitland are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
8.1%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00